100 days of Trump: What do the polls tell us?
100 days into his first term and President Donald Trump's polling numbers are trailing those of his modern predecessors.
Presidential Job Approval Ratings Following the First 100 Days
Eisenhower - Trump
Citation: Gerhard Peters. "Presidential Job Approval Ratings Following the First 100 Days." The American Presidency Project. Ed. John T. Woolley and Gerhard Peters. Santa Barbara, CA: University of California. 1999-2017. Available from the World Wide Web: http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/data/100days_approval.php.
** Rasmussen Report, Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Rasmussen reports that 32 percent strongly approve of the President, while 42 percent strongly disapprove. That is a 10-percentage point intensity gap.
This intensity gap is important, because the Democrats are fueling it with grassroots efforts aimed directly at Trump and the GOP. Meanwhile, pro-Trump forces are often at odds with the Republican Party (as in the case of some Tea Party groups and organizations like Americans for Prosperity). While AFP works to split the GOP, the anti-Trump forces are united and grow closer together every day in their determination to stop President Trump's reforms.
On Friday, 99 days into President Trump's first 100 days, a coalition of Democrat Party and Left wing activists groups announced they were forming to stop Trump in New Jersey. The Observer (April 28, 2017) reported:
"On the 99th day of Trump’s presidency, New Jersey legislators and activists launched what they called a “legislative resistance” to create concrete protections against federal proposals that they say would undermine state values and resident safety.
The Resistance Coalition is fronted by Sen. Majority Leader Loretta Weinberg (D-Bergen) and Assembly Speaker Emeritus Sheila Oliver (D-Essex). It includes activist groups like New Jersey Working Families Alliance, the Communication Workers of America (CWA), the NJ Amalgamated Transit Union, Blue Wave NJ, and the Sierra Club, among others. They plan to introduce state legislative measures in areas like expanding voting rights, reinstating Obama-era environmental protections lifted by the Trump administration, minimizing “wage theft” they say Trump’s budget cuts would aggravate, and divesting pension payments from companies that help build Trump’s U.S.-Mexico border wall."
Instead of meeting this challenge with a coalition of their own, groups like AFP are leading the charge to block the Trump agenda in Washington, DC, while its New Jersey affiliate has joined with several Tea Party groups to instigate primaries against Republican legislators. The Democrats and far-Left have joined together to kill President Trump's initiatives and are watching bemused as their opponents strangle each other. Instead of meeting the Left's challenge, AFP and the Tea Party are battling Republicans. Insane, but true.
Democrat and Left-wing intensity is only going to grow stronger. A Rasmussen poll out on Friday shows that Democrats are not happy with the level of their party's obstruction of President Trump's policies. The survey found that just 11% of Likely Democratic Voters believe efforts by the Democrats to oppose Trump during his first 100 days in office were successful. Twenty-four percent (24%) of Democrats think those efforts were a failure, while most (63%) say they’re somewhere in between.
According to Rasmussen, voters tend to think President Trump has failed to deliver in his first 100 days in office, but Rasmussen claims that is mainly because Democrats are so partisan and unhappy with Trump.
"But a closer look finds that 57% of Republicans think Trump’s first 100 days have been successful versus 72% of Democrats who regard them as a failure. Eighteen percent (18%) of GOP voters say Trump has failed to date; only nine percent (9%) of Democrats think he has succeeded. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 23% say the president’s first 100 days have been a success, 43% a failure.
Twenty-eight percent (28%) of all voters think Trump has proven to be a better president than they expected. Only slightly more (31%) say he’s done worse than they expected. Thirty-nine percent (39%) feel his performance has been about what they thought it would be."
Rasmussen notes that President Trump’s job approval rating in its Daily Presidential Tracking Poll has ranged from a high of 59% in late January to a low of 43% in early April.
Can President Trump turn this around? Yes, with a strong and determined focus from his grassroots supporters and some popular policies. Trump's signing of the “Buy American, Hire American” executive order was one of the most popular actions he's taken since being in office. Actions like these and supporters who are as willing to fight for him as they are against each other will turn the tide.